Celtics vs Heat Game 1 Prediction | NBA Playoffs 2024 R1
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NBA playoff match predictions for Game 1 between the Celtics vs Heat, based on a trustworthy model that provides odds, score forecasts, and recommended wagers.
Game 1 between the Celtics vs Heat
| Team | Record | Seed | Key Information | Game 1 Location | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 57-25 | 1st | Seeking vengeance after last year’s Eastern Conference Finals loss | TD Garden, Boston | Sunday, 2024 |
| Miami Heat | 46-36 | 8th | Defeated Chicago 112-91 in play-in game, Jimmy Butler out with MCL injury | TD Garden, Boston | Sunday, 2024 |
The top-seeded Boston Celtics will have their opportunity for vengeance when they play Miami in the first round of the 2024 NBA playoffs, having lost to the Heat in seven games during the previous year’s Eastern Conference Finals. At Boston’s TD Garden on Sunday, Game 1 will take place. The Heat (46-36) will try to duplicate their performance from last year, when they upset top-seeded Milwaukee, fifth-seeded New York, and second-seeded Boston to advance to the NBA Finals, where they were eliminated by the Denver Nuggets in five games. The Heat defeated Chicago 112-91 in Friday’s play-in game. Jimmy Butler, a small forward for Miami, will be out for many weeks due to a damaged MCL.
The cutoff time is one p.m. ET. Although Miami has a 20-17 series advantage in the playoffs, Boston leads the rivalry overall 100–73. The most recent consensus SportsLine Heat vs. Celtics odds have the Celtics as 14-point favorites, and the total points scored over/under is 209.5. You should check out SportsLine’s reliable computer model’s NBA predictions and betting recommendations before making any Celtics vs. Heat selections.
Over the previous five plus seasons, the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, has produced well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA choices. With a scorching 88-58 record this season on all of the top-rated NBA selections, the model returns more than $2,600 and heads into the 2024 NBA playoffs. Anyone who has followed it has made significant profits.
The algorithm has now locked down its predictions and choices for the NBA playoffs between the Celtics and the Heat. You can see the model’s selections by visiting SportsLine right now. For the Heat vs. Celtics game, below are a number of NBA odds and betting lines:
- Celtics vs Heat spread: Boston -14
- Heat vs. Celtics: 209.5 points in the over/under
- Money line for the Heat vs. Celtics: Miami +696, Boston -1111
- MIA: In their previous 49 away games, the Heat have won 28 of them (+21.15 units on the ML).
- BOS: In 58 of their last 85 games, the Celtics have covered the first-half spread (+27.35 units).
- Picks for Heat vs. Celtics are available at SportsLine.
Reasons the Celtics are capable of victory
This season, Kristaps Porzingis has been very successful versus the Heat. He has averaged 20.3 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.7 assists, one block, and one steal in three games. He is averaging 20.1 points, 7.2 rebounds, two assists, 1.9 blocks, and 29.6 minutes per game this season. During his last four regular season games, he recorded three double-doubles, which helped him get into the playoffs.
The Celtics are also led by point guard Derrick White. He has averaged 15.2 points, 5.2 assists, 4.2 rebounds, 1.2 blocks, and one steal in 32.6 minutes of play over 73 games, all of which he has started. This season, he has averaged 16.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and two blocks in three games versus the Heat. In the first 46 games of a season, he became the only player in NBA history to have at least 200 assists, 120 3-pointers, 50 blocks, and 40 steals.Choose your team from this list.
Why Heat is able to absorb
Key Player Stats:
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): In the play-in game against the Bulls, 24 points, 10 rebounds, 9 assists in 33 minutes.
- Regular Season (2023-2024): Averaged 23.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 5.3 assists in three games against Boston.
- Season Average: 20.8 points, 4.5 assists, and 5.3 rebounds in 33.5 minutes per game.
In the play-in game against the Bulls on Friday, point guard Tyler Herro came just short of a triple-double. Herro put up twenty-four points, ten rebounds, and nine assists in thirty-three minutes of play. Herro averaged 23.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 5.3 assists in three regular-season games for Boston in 2023–2024. His average of 20.8 points made him and Butler the team’s top scorers. In 33.5 minutes, Herro also averaged 4.5 assists and 5.3 rebounds.
Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro:
Key Player Stats:
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat)
- Play-in Game vs. Bulls: 24 points, 10 rebounds, 9 assists in 33 minutes
- Regular Season (2023-2024): Averaged 23.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 5.3 assists in three games against Boston
- Season Average: 20.8 points, 4.5 assists, and 5.3 rebounds in 33.5 minutes per game
- Bam Adebayo (Miami Heat)
- Play-in Game vs. Bulls: 13 points, 4 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks
- Play-in Game vs. 76ers: 10 points, 12 rebounds (double-double)
- Season Average: 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 1.1 steals in 34 minutes (71 games)
- Career vs. Boston: 17.1 points, 8.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 1.3 steals, 1 block in 32 minutes (22 games)
In the victory against the Bulls on Friday, center Bam Adebayo made a noticeable impression as well, with 13 points, four rebounds, four assists, and two blocks. In Wednesday’s 105-104 play-in defeat to Philadelphia, he scored 10 points and pulled down 12 rebounds, recording a double-double. He averaged 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds, 3.9 assists, and 1.1 steals in 34 minutes in 71 games, all of which he started. Throughout his career, he has faced Boston with considerable success. Averaging 17.1 points, 8.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 1.3 steals, and one block in 32 minutes, he has played in 22 games. Choose your team from this list.
How to choose the Heat to play the Celtics
To choose the Miami Heat to play against the Boston Celtics based on the SportsLine model’s projections, consider the following points:
- Combined Point Total Projection: The SportsLine model projects a combined point total of 208 points for the game, which leans towards the under compared to the current over/under set at 209.5 points.
- Simulation Results: The model indicates that one side has a higher likelihood of hitting in more than 50% of the simulations. This suggests a potential edge in betting based on the model’s projections.
- Key Player Performance:
- Tyler Herro: In the play-in game against the Bulls, he nearly achieved a triple-double with 24 points, 10 rebounds, and 9 assists. His regular season performance against Boston was strong, averaging 23.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 5.3 assists in three games.
- Bam Adebayo: Contributed significantly in recent play-in games with a notable double-double performance against Philadelphia. His season averages include 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds, 3.9 assists, and 1.1 steals per game.
- Team Performance: Miami has had success in the playoffs against top-seeded teams, including their recent run to the NBA Finals. Despite being the 8th seed, they have a history of performing well under pressure.
- Current Odds: The Celtics are 14-point favorites, indicating a significant expectation for them to win. However, the Heat have shown resilience and the ability to upset higher-seeded teams.
Given these factors, if you believe in the Heat’s ability to perform well under pressure and leverage key player performances, you might choose to back the Heat in this matchup. Additionally, considering the model’s projection and the likelihood of the total points being under 209.5, you could also look at betting options that align with these projections.
Celtics vs Heat
Game 1
Playoffs 2024
Round 1
NBA Playoffs
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
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